ASU vs. Texas State: Predictions, Breakout Star & Bold Calls
- Jordon Leon
- Aug 13
- 3 min read
Arizona State enters Week 3 with momentum and focus as they host the Texas State Bobcats at Mountain America Stadium. Coming off a challenging road stretch, the Sun Devils have a chance to reset at home before diving deeper into the grind of the Big 12 schedule.
This game is more than just a non-conference matchup—it’s a measuring stick for consistency. Kenny Dillingham’s squad has shown flashes of brilliance early in the season, but Week 3 is about proving they can sustain that energy against an opponent eager to play spoiler.
Texas State isn’t your typical “easy win” tune-up. The Bobcats are loaded with transfer portal additions and boast a spread offense that can stretch a defense horizontally and vertically. They’ll test ASU’s secondary discipline and force the Sun Devils’ linebackers to cover in space. On defense, Texas State thrives on creating chaos at the line of scrimmage—something ASU’s offensive front must handle to avoid drive-killing plays.
Final Score Prediction
Arizona State 38, Texas State 17
Expect the first quarter to be competitive, with Texas State landing an early punch through an up-tempo passing game. But once ASU’s offensive line settles in, the Sun Devils should dictate pace, mixing a balanced rushing attack with efficient intermediate passing. By the second half, ASU’s depth and athleticism should overwhelm the Bobcats, creating separation on the scoreboard.
Breakout Player of the Game
Jaren Hamilton, WR
The sophomore wideout has been steadily climbing the depth chart, but Week 3 sets up perfectly for his breakout. Texas State’s corners like to press at the line, and Hamilton’s acceleration makes him dangerous against aggressive coverage. Expect ASU to target him on play-action shots and crossing routes to exploit mismatches.
Projected impact: 5 receptions, 88 yards, 1 TD — with at least one catch of 25+ yards to spark a scoring drive.
Bold Call
Special teams will tilt the game early. Look for ASU to produce a momentum-shifting play—either a blocked punt or a long kickoff return—that sets up a short field. In a matchup where Texas State will be hunting for confidence, a special-teams dagger in the opening half could take the wind out of their sails.
Key Matchups to Watch
1. ASU Offensive Line vs. Texas State Pass Rush
Texas State’s defensive front is undersized but relentless. They rely on stunts and delayed blitzes to generate pressure. If ASU’s O-line communicates well, Sam Leavitt will have time to dissect the secondary.
2. Sun Devils’ Secondary vs. Bobcats’ Vertical Game
The Bobcats’ quarterback isn’t afraid to take deep shots. Safeties like Xavion Alford must be disciplined in coverage and ready to help over the top. A single blown assignment could give Texas State life.
3. ASU’s Tempo vs. Texas State’s Depth
The Sun Devils’ ability to push the pace will be crucial. A fast tempo in the desert heat could wear down the Bobcats’ rotation, especially on defense.
Stat Line Projections
QB Sam Leavitt: 19/26, 240 yd, 2 TD, 0 INT
RB Kanye Udoh: 18 carries, 120 yd, 2 TD
WR Jaren Hamilton: 5 receptions, 88 yd, 1 TD
Safety Xavion Alford: 6 tackles, 1 PBU
Team Total Offense: ~450 yd, 33:27 time of possession, at least 1 takeaway
Closing Thoughts
This game might not carry the same hype as a ranked opponent or conference showdown, but it matters for ASU’s trajectory. A clean, dominant performance would not only push the Sun Devils to [insert record] but also reinforce that they can prepare and execute regardless of opponent.
For Dillingham, it’s about stacking good weeks. For Hamilton, Udoh, and the rest of the offensive playmakers, it’s about seizing opportunities and making sure the scoreboard tells the full story of their potential.
If the Sun Devils handle business as predicted, Week 3 won’t just be another home win—it’ll be proof that ASU can transition from a team with flashes of brilliance to one with a steady, winning identity.
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