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T3 Bracketology NCAA Tournament Bid Watch 2/18

With now less than a month until we have an official NCAA Tournament bracket, questions loom about which teams are safely in the field, and who has some work to do still. We have broken down that information, by conference, below. More info on each conference's rationale can be found at this link: NCAA Tournament Bid Watch 2/18


Lock: could theoretically lose out and still make the field

Should be In: would take a major collapse to miss the field, have a solid resume to this point

Work to Do: fall somewhere in the 8-9 seed range all the way to just outside the field. Are in, or just barely out, but not quite safe yet

Fringe Bubble: have not been eliminated from at-large contention yet, but are just about in “win out” territory



Locks: Duke

Should Be In: None

Work to Do: Miami, Wake Forest, Notre Dame, North Carolina, Virginia Tech

Fringe Bubble: Virginia, Florida State


Locks: None

Should Be In: Houston

Work to Do: Memphis, SMU

Fringe Bubble: Cincinnati, Wichita State

Atlantic 10

Locks: None

Should Be In: None

Work to Do: Davidson, VCU, Dayton, St Bonaventure

Fringe Bubble: Saint Louis

Big 12

Locks: Kansas, Baylor, Texas Tech, Texas

Should Be In: None

Work to Do: Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma, Kansas State

Fringe Bubble: West Virginia

Big East

Locks: Villanova, Providence

Should Be In: UConn, Marquette, Xavier, Seton Hall

Work to Do: Creighton

Fringe Bubble: St Johns

Big Ten

Locks: Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois

Should Be In: Ohio State, Michigan State

Work to Do: Indiana, Iowa, Rutgers, Michigan

Fringe Bubble: None

Mountain West

Locks: None

Should Be In: Colorado State

Work to Do: Wyoming, Boise State, San Diego State

Fringe Bubble: Fresno State


Locks: Arizona, UCLA

Should Be In: USC

Work to Do: Oregon

Fringe Bubble: Stanford, Colorado, Washington State


Locks: Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee

Should Be In: Alabama, LSU, Arkansas

Work to Do: Florida

Fringe Bubble: Mississippi State, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt


Locks: Gonzaga

Should Be In: Saint Mary’s

Work to Do: San Francisco, BYU

Fringe Bubble: Santa Clara

Other Mid-Majors

Locks: None

Should Be In: None

Work to Do: Murray State, Loyola Chicago, Belmont, North Texas

Fringe Bubble: UAB, Iona

Thanks for reading! DM @TBracketology with questions about the bubble watch or any other CBB questions!

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