SSN Betting Column: Edition #2
Each week we accumulate the best sports betting minds at Sidelines Sports Network and put it all at one place for your convenience. Each edition is published on Thursday's with bets for the upcoming weekend slate.
One of the best games on Sunday's NFL slate, the LA Chargers at the Baltimore Ravens, also happens to contain an undervalued side. The Ravens are once again overvalued after a phenomenal come from behind win at home versus the Colts last week, and the Chargers are coming off a crazy shootout victory. The spread opened at 5.5 in favor of the Ravens, but has already dipped to 3.0. That 5.5 spread was ridiculous considering the matchups. I'll happily grab the Chargers at +3 (at time of publishing) and I'd bet them down to an even moneyline.
Oklahoma State is quietly back in the big way on the football field. The Cowboys take on the Texas Longhorns this Saturday, who (like the Ravens) are overvalued because of last weeks' game. Oklahoma State will control the line of scrimmage and dictate the pace of the game throughout. Texas might be the more athletic, explosive side, but running the football and clamping up defensively is fool proof. Give me the points.
Oklahoma State +5.5
I have absolutely no idea what Vegas is doing with this line, but Michigan State under a touchdown at Indiana is highway robbery. The Spartans aren't being taken seriously by the public, and it's a damn shame because this team is the real deal. Michigan State plays a similar style to Oklahoma State, and are taking on a team that tries to be too flashy for their own good. Indiana was shutout versus Penn State a couple weeks ago, and I think there's a real possibility that happens again. Put the house on Sparty.
Michigan State -4.5
The fact that Oklahoma State aren't favorited for their date with Texas is a classic case of recency bias. They have been the better all-around team this season and will be able to score enough per possession to keep this one close, if not win outright. Oklahoma State's defense will be able to contain the line of scrimmage, and they'll cover this one on the road.
Oklahoma State +5.5
Georgia has been on fire this season, and find themselves as a massive favorite against Kentucky--for good reason. Kentucky has exceeded expectations so far this season. The spread is so big because the public isn't convinced Kentucky is the real deal. The Wildcats strong rushing attack and consistent defensive play could keep this close for a while, especially with a ruckus crowd in Lexington. Take the points with the home team.
This one is a gut pick. As an LSU fan, I know this team better than most, and the Tigers tough stretch won't be ending anytime soon. Ed Orgeron is on the hot seat but refuses to make necessary adjustments. Meanwhile, Florida is one of the most undervalued teams in the nation on a weekly basis. This game is set to take place in Death Valley, but that just means we're getting a couple extra sports on the spread.
The reigning champions go to face off against the Philadelphia Eagles this Thursday with both teams coming off wins. The Bucs offense has been on fire so far this season, ranking top three in points, touchdowns and total yards. The defense hasn't been as stellar, especially against the pass, giving up the 5th most yards to opposing receivers this season while also allowing the 3rd most passing yards in the league. The Eagles defense is the opposite, giving up the third FEWEST passing yards to opposing teams and allowing only 600 yards and 5 scores to opposing receivers.
OVER 6.5 Total TDs, Bucs -7, Fournette Anytime TD (+105)
The Las Vegas Raiders have been in the headlines the last few days and not for good reason. After emails were leaked showing Jon Gruden using anti-gay, racist, and sexist language on company emails, he resigned as the head coach of the Oakland Raiders. Despite Denver coming off two embarrassing losses, the Broncos and Raiders are tied for second place in the AFC West at 3-2. Denver will be celebrating legendary coach Mike Shannahan as well as HOF inductee Steve Atwater during the game. Look for Denver to come out with fire at home against their first divisional matchup of the year.
covering that -3.5 adjusted line, and hitting the OVER at 44 points for the game.
Broncos -3.5, OVER 44
Former Heisman Trophy winners Kyler Murray and Baker Mayfield face off in a game between the Cardinals and Browns on Sunday. Arizona is undefeated while the Browns are hoping to hand them their first loss of the season. Both defenses are letting up less than 23 points per game while both offenses are averaging over 27 points. This is likely going to be the game of the year and the O/U can go in either direction. Nick Chubb is averaging 104 yards per game on the ground while Kareem Hunt is averaging 60 yards on the ground and 30 in the air. Let’s roll the dice with the mistake by the lake.
Browns ML (-160 at time of publishing)