A new season of College Football is almost here. With a new season comes an opportunity to have a little extra change in your pocket.
In the coming weeks leading up to kickoff on August 26, I will go from conference to conference sharing my preseason win total bets that are worth putting some coin on.
For this edition of Brendan’s Best Bets, we are taking a look at SEC preseason win totals. Odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.
Arkansas Over 6.5 Wins (-160)
Arkansas might have the best QB-RB duo in the SEC with K.J. Jefferson and Raheim Sanders in the backfield. Sam Pittman reloaded at WR and TE via the transfer portal. The WR and TE room features talented transfers that are unproven at the SEC level but they will surprise this season.
The Razorbacks have three winnable non-conference games against Western Carolina, Kent State and BYU. After a tough four game stretch away from home, Arkansas ends the season with games at Florida, vs Auburn, vs FIU and vs Missouri. Even if they drop all four games in that stretch away from home, Arkansas can still hit the over.
Kentucky Over 7.5 Wins (+118)
Kentucky sent a QB to the NFL Draft but arguably upgraded at the position with the addition of Devin Leary. The Wildcats also brought back offensive coordinator Liam Coen to go alongside 10 returning starters on that side of the ball. This might be the most talented offense Mark Stoops has ever had in Lexington. The defense under Stoops is always good as well.
This line was originally at 6.5 but it shot up to 7.5. The schedule is nice for the Wildcats as they open with a stretch six out of seven games that they will be favorites in. If they can carry that momentum into November, this team can get to nine wins.
Tennessee Under 9.5 Wins (-188)
The Volunteers' win total being set at 9.5 wins is ridiculous for a team that lost its QB and top two receivers. Hendon Hooker should have been a Heisman Trophy finalist so losing him will hurt Tennessee. Joe Milton is not a bad replacement but I have my doubts with his ability to be accurate in the short and intermediate passing game.
The schedule isn’t exactly kind either. The Vols play at Alabama and Georgia. They also have a trap game at Kentucky. That game is the week after Tennessee plays Alabama and the Wildcats will be coming off of a bye week. This is my favorite play in the SEC.
Texas A&M Under 8.5 Wins (-180)
Texas A&M will be one of the most interesting teams to watch this season. If everything goes right, this team can win 9-10 games. However, with so many strong personalities on the coaching staff (Jimbo Fisher, Bobby Petrino, D.J. Durkin, Steve Addazio, etc.), who knows what’s going to happen.
The Aggies have a tough non-conference game at Miami. They also play in the toughest division in college football: the SEC West. The conference schedule features road games against Tennessee, Ole Miss and LSU. Not to mention, the Aggies host Alabama, South Carolina, Mississippi State and play Arkansas on a neutral field.
To recap, here are the bets we are making:
Arkansas Over 6.5 Wins (-160)
Kentucky Over 7.5 Wins (+118)
Tennessee Under 9.5 Wins (-188)
Texas A&M Under 8.5 Wins (-180)