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ASU vs. Mississippi State: Predictions, Breakout Stars, and Bold Calls

Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 6


Game Context & Narrative

A tough early-season road test in the SEC. Mississippi State will bring a hostile crowd and physical style, but ASU’s off-season work and depth have the Sun Devils ready to show they belong on the bigger stages. This game is about more than W/L — it’s a measuring stick for how Sam Leavitt and Kenny Dillingham handle pressure, tempo, and the trench battles that often decide close games.


Final Score Prediction

Arizona State 27, Mississippi State 21Expect a tight first half, then a second-half swing toward ASU as the Sun Devils force a pair of turnovers and grind the clock with balanced play-calling. A one-score road win frames ASU as a resilient, well-coached team early in the season.


ASU Breakout Player of the Game — Jordyn Tyson (WR, #0)

Tyson makes a diving catch in Manhattan Kansas enroute to an upset victory over #16 ranked Kansas State
Tyson makes a diving catch in Manhattan Kansas enroute to an upset victory over #16 ranked Kansas State

Tyson is on the official roster and has the size and contested-catch profile to give MSU problems in man coverage or when matched against nickel/safety help. This game’s scheme leans toward intermediate-to-deep shots off play-action — exactly where Tyson thrives. Expect Leavitt to look his way on third-and-manageable and on designed verticals; a handful of explosive catches (100+ yards, 1 TD) would move Tyson from “trusted target” to “go-to playmaker” in the eyes of the Big 12 and national media.


Why Tyson? He’s a polished route-runner with contested-catch ability — the kind of receiver who breaks a game open when a defense is focused on containing other threats. Getting him free for two big plays changes field position, scoring opportunities, and the Bulldogs’ defensive plan.


Hot Take:

This is the week ASU’s defense does more than bend — it breaks momentum in a way that decides the game. Expect the Sun Devils to mix pressure and disguised coverages early; that confusion leads to two second-half takeaways (one strip-sack, one interception) that directly set up a touchdown and a short-field scoring drive.

Fite takes his leadership seriously in his 2025 start in the Peach Bowl vs Texas
Fite takes his leadership seriously in his 2025 start in the Peach Bowl vs Texas

Beyond turnovers, special teams swing the tilt: a long punt return or a key fourth-down stop flips field position and forces Mississippi State into risky play-calls late. If the offensive gameplan remains methodical — run to control, use play-action to chase safeties — Leavitt hits a couple chunk plays while ASU grinds the clock down the stretch.


If this hot take comes true, the narrative won’t be just “ASU got an upset” — it’ll be “ASU out-coached and out-battled an SEC side in their own building.”


Stat Predictions:

  • Sam Leavitt (QB): 22/31, 265 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; ~30–40 rushing yards (key scrambles)

  • Jordyn Tyson (WR): 7 catches, 110 yards, 1 TD (including one explosive 30+ yard play)

  • Kyson Brown (RB): 16–18 carries, 95 yards, 1 TD — efficient downhill work to chew clock

  • Prince Dorbah (DL): 1.5–2.0 sacks, QB pressures, and a key third-down play late

  • Team Defense / ST: 2 turnovers forced, 3–4 sacks, hold MSU under 100 rushing yards

  • Total Offense: ~420–480 yards; time-of-possession edge for ASU in the second half

    Arizona State Sun Devils defensive lineman Prince Dorbah (32) against the Arizona Wildcats during the Territorial Cup at Arizona Stadium. Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Arizona State Sun Devils defensive lineman Prince Dorbah (32) against the Arizona Wildcats during the Territorial Cup at Arizona Stadium. Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Closing Thoughts:

A win here would be a statement: not just that ASU can win a Power-4 road game, but that the program’s roster construction, coaching, and in-game adjustments are ready for sustained success. Beating Mississippi State in Starkville requires discipline (limit mental errors), physicality (win the line of scrimmage), and poise (close-game execution). If Leavitt remains composed, the receivers — led by Tyson — make contested catches, and the front seven wins its one-on-one battles, ASU walks out with more than a 2-0 record. They walk out with credibility.


Coach leads the team forward in Big XII game last season
Coach leads the team forward in Big XII game last season

For the coaching staff, this game is a blueprint. It proves the team can execute a game-plan away from home, adjust to in-game adversity, and manage clock/field position when the opponent brings the noise. For the roster, it’s a confidence-builder: younger players get live reps in a hostile environment, depth earns trust, and leaders emerge in clutch moments. That momentum — early, road-tested, and hard-earned — is the kind that carries into conference play and shapes the trajectory of a season.

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Website designed by Brett Frost. 

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